Match Info

DENMARK: 3rd Division

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus)


	VSK Aarhus		Avarta

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.7	4.4
	1.65	3.75	4.55
	1.68	3.83	4.34
	1.68	3.81	4.33
	1.62	3.68	4.77
	1.65	3.75	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)	3.75 ↓ (3.92)	4.49 ↓ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VSK Aarhus
55.4%

Draw
24.3%

Avarta
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

23.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VSK Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Avarta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VSK Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avarta than the current prediction. (-4%)

VSK Aarhus - Avarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 2, ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

VSK Aarhus is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Avarta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match VSK Aarhus is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's VSK Aarhus to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 5 head-to-head matches VSK Aarhus won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams VSK Aarhus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VSK Aarhus
Danish 3 Division
26.10.24	FA 2000 - VSK Aarhus	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	VSK Aarhus - Næsby	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Avarta - VSK Aarhus	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	VSK Aarhus - Brønshøj BK	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Odder - VSK Aarhus	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- Avarta
Danish 3 Division
27.10.24	Avarta - Sundby	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	FA 2000 - Avarta	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Avarta - VSK Aarhus	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Sundby - Avarta	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Avarta - FA 2000	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
13.10.24	Avarta - VSK Aarhus	0:1
18.05.24	VSK Aarhus - Avarta	1:0
28.04.24	Avarta - VSK Aarhus	2:0
01.04.24	VSK Aarhus - Avarta	6:2
10.09.23	Avarta - VSK Aarhus	1:0

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