Match Info

FINLAND: Ykkonen

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Vaajakosken keskuskentta (Vaajakoski)


	Vaajakoski		Atlantis Helsinki

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.25
	8.25	5.25	1.26
	9.5	5.5	1.25
	8.19	5.51	1.28
	8.2	5.51	1.28
	9	5.5	1.22
	8.9	5.6	1.27
	8.2	5.4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.59 ↑ (7.56)	5.41 ↑ (4.87)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaajakoski
10.6%

Draw
16.9%

Atlantis Helsinki
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

18.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

17.5%

74.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaajakoski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Atlantis Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaajakoski than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Vaajakoski - Atlantis Helsinki Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlantis Helsinki will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Toivari S. (G) 9. Hakkinen R. 5. Halonen H. 24. Liimatainen M. 8. Niemela M. 2. Pirttinen N. 22. Ronka J. 20. Simsek B. 12. Sydanmaa M. 19. Verkko M. (C) 4. Voikar L.	77. Mustafa B. (G) 8. Achenchab A. 34. Arakaki Y. 12. Jean 22. Jokiniemi N. 18. Katashira C. 30. Mansaray B. 4. Marcelo Costa 6. Rudenko D. 2. Salo J. 16. Sorvali M.
Substitutes
10. Janhunen V. 17. Kovaqi G. 14. Montonen B. 11. Salim S. 3. Sarkkinen J. 27. Suutarinen L. 25. Tuokkola V. (G)	45. Fazli M. 70. Mehmeti A. 20. Salau S. 11. Severino M. 93. Ziprus J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Pirttinen N. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Achenchab A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 1 - 1, Simsek B. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Salo J. ⚽,
61', Arakaki Y. ↓, Severino M. ↑,
62', Liimatainen M. ↓, Salim S. ↑,
63', Mansaray B. ↓, Salau S. ↑,
64', Niemela M. ↓, Montonen B. ↑,
68', Pirttinen N. ↓, Suutarinen L. ↑,
83', Ronka J. ↓, Kovaqi G. ↑,
83', Verkko M. ↓, Sarkkinen J. ↑,
86', Katashira C. ↓, Fazli M. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Jean ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 4, Severino M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

Vaajakoski has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlantis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlantis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlantis is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vaajakoski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vaajakoski
Finnish Ykkonen
13.06.24	Jazz Pori - Vaajakoski	3:2 ✺
05.06.24	Vaajakoski - JJK Jyväskylä	1:2 ✺
30.05.24	KuPS Akatemia - Vaajakoski	5:1 ✺
26.05.24	VIFK - Vaajakoski	2:2 ✺
22.05.24	Vaajakoski - Espoon Palloseura	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL
- Atlantis Helsinki
Finnish Cup
15.06.24	VJS Vantaa - Atlantis Helsinki	2:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
12.06.24	Atlantis Helsinki - KuPS Akatemia	3:1 ✺
08.06.24	Keski-Uusimaa - Atlantis Helsinki	1:0 ✺
31.05.24	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	1:3 ✺
26.05.24	Atlantis Helsinki - Klubi 04	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
12.04.24	Atlantis Helsinki - Vaajakoski	2:0

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