Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 23 November 2023, Thursday


	Vaca Díez		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3	3.5	2
	3.1	3.6	2	Watch
	3.17	3.88	2.04
	3.17	3.88	2.04
	3.14	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.8	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (4.72)	3.72 ↓ (4.33)	2.02 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaca Díez
29.4%

Draw
24.9%

The Strongest
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

21.4%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

21%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaca Díez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vaca Díez's performance.

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Strongest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaca Díez than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vaca Díez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The Strongest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Vaca Díez - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vaca Díez will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The Strongest will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for The Strongest: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pena I. (G) 14. Fernandez J. 22. Paredes M. 3. Quinones Y. 21. Roca D. 17. Rodriguez D. 5. Morales R. 7. Cuadros D. 42. Becerra G. 33. Pinto D. 8. Taborga P.	13. Viscarra G. (G) 31. Bustos R. 5. Jusino A. 3. Pedraza P. 19. Roca C. 29. Lopez L. 6. Quiroga A. 26. Sotomayor G. 10. Ortega M. 20. Garcia Sossa J. E. 11. Triverio E.
Substitutes
32. Almanza Oroza P. 6. Borobobo V. 16. Briceno J. 19. Escalante J. 25. Ibaguary A. 37. Jemio C. 38. Maldonado D. 23. Moura D. 35. Pontons K. 1. Rodriguez E. (G) 39. Vaca W. 34. Weverton Braz	17. Arano C. 9. Arias J. 30. Arrascaita J. 1. Banegas L. (G) 2. Carrasco J. 22. Castillo G. 23. Chura J. 32. Flores J. 21. Isnaldo E. 4. Lino D. 7. Torres S. 14. Wayar D.
Coaches
Santana R.	Cabanilla P.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Recent matches Vaca Díez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The Strongest is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The Strongest will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vaca Díez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Vaca Díez
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.11.23	Royal Pari - Vaca Díez	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	Vaca Díez - Bolívar	4:3 ✺
04.11.23	Vaca Díez - Guabirá	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.10.23	Independiente Petroleros - Vaca Díez	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Vaca Díez - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWLW
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.11.23	The Strongest - Libertad Gran Mamoré	8:0 ✺
07.11.23	Guabirá - The Strongest	4:1 ✺
04.11.23	Aurora - The Strongest	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.11.23	The Strongest - Real Santa Cruz	4:0 ✺
26.10.23	The Strongest - Guabirá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
20.05.23	The Strongest - Vaca Díez	4:1

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