Match Info

BOLIVIA: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 10

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Independiente Petroleros		Vaca Díez

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.75
				Watch
	1.54	4.51	4.78
	1.52	4.4	5.35	Watch
	1.49	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.85)	4.33 ↑ (3.65)	4.97 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
60.5%

Draw
21.1%

Vaca Díez
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

24.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Petroleros's performance.

Vaca Díez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vaca Díez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Petroleros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaca Díez than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaca Díez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente Petroleros - Vaca Díez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arauz G. (G) 21. Arteaga N. 25. Castellon D. 5. Diaz E. 11. Godoy J. 39. Grass P. L. 29. Ibars S. 18. Quiroga M. 22. Ramirez R. 23. Rivera E. 10. Thomaz	1. Rodriguez E. (G) 6. Borobobo V. 38. Maldonado D. 4. Mizael Monteiro 5. Morales R. 23. Moura D. 22. Paredes M. 33. Pinto D. 3. Quinones Y. 21. Roca D. 17. Rodriguez D.
Substitutes
27. Arroyo M. 30. Bejarano A. 34. Castedo L. (G) 8. Gomez R. 4. Lucas Gaucho 16. Martinez Y. 7. Melgar V. 28. Morales Paz O. J. 9. Pedriel R. 6. Pena B. 14. Perez E. 3. Velasquez E.	42. Becerra G. 16. Briceno J. 7. Cuadros D. 19. Escalante J. 41. José Angulo Céspedes 13. Pena I. (G) 35. Pontons K.
Coaches
Robledo J.	Santana R.

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Independiente Petroleros will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Independiente Petroleros won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Petroleros won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Copa Pacena
28.10.23	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	1:1 ✺
25.10.23	Independiente Petroleros - Blooming	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.10.23	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	2:4 ✺
03.10.23	Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLLWL
- Club Vaca Díez
Bolivian Copa Pacena
28.10.23	Vaca Díez - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Universitario de Vinto - Vaca Díez	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.10.23	Real Santa Cruz - Vaca Díez	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Vaca Díez - Real Tomayapo	0:1 ✺
05.10.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Vaca Díez	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
19.08.23	Independiente Petroleros - Vaca Díez	0:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
21.07.23	Vaca Díez - Independiente Petroleros	0:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.04.23	Vaca Díez - Independiente Petroleros	1:0
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
20.12.20	Independiente Petroleros - Vaca Díez	3:1

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