Match Info

Copa Pacena - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Aurora		The Strongest

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.23	4	2.75
	2.33	3.85	2.62	Watch
	2.23	3.74	2.52	Watch
	2.55	3.7	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	2.55 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
39.6%

Draw
24.2%

The Strongest
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+2%)

Aurora - The Strongest Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. The Strongest (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aurora (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The Strongest (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Cortez M. 26. Torrico D. (C) 52. Sanchez H. 16. Vidaurre I. 21. Ballivian R. 6. Sejas C. 5. Amarilla A. 3. Vaca O. 23. Fernandez A. 15. Viviani L. 10. Verdun J.	12. Valdivia D. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 5. Jusino A. (C) 3. Pedraza P. 16. Moriceau T. 7. Amoroso J. 17. Lovera J. 6. Quiroga A. 21. Quaglio F. 18. Chavez A. 30. Arrascaita J.
Substitutes
99. Akologo D. (G) 14. Aranibar B. 9. Blanco O. 27. Flores A. 7. Huayhuata I. 55. Michel J. 22. Rojas S. 20. Sanchez A. 69. Terrazas A. 12. Torrico J.	28. Ayarza A. 41. Barreto N. 37. Espiritu P. 22. Godoy J. 35. Lino D. 34. Melgar S. 33. Mendoza K. (G) 29. Portuncho Y. 36. Ribera R. 15. Roca C. 25. Somoya M. 10. Sotomayor G.
Coaches
Zeballos S.	Monasterio J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Chavez A. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Ballivian R. ⚽,
26', Quiroga A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Arrascaita J. (Pen),
45+5', 1 - 2, Chavez A. ⚽, Lovera J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Verdun J. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
56', Vaca O. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
61', Lovera J. ↓, Somoya M. ↑,
61', Quaglio F. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
73', Torrico D. 🟨,
73', Amarilla A. 🟨,
75', Pedraza P. ↓, Lino D. ↑,
77', Viviani L. ↓, Torrico J. ↑,
78', Moriceau T. 🟨,
82', Torrico D. 🟥,
90', Chavez A. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.

Aurora has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

The Strongest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Aurora - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.11.25	The Strongest - Aurora	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Aurora - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.11.25	Bolívar - Aurora	6:1 ✺
03.11.25	Aurora - Independiente Petroleros	2:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.10.25	Blooming - Aurora	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLLL
- The Strongest
Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.11.25	The Strongest - Aurora	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	The Strongest - Bolívar	3:5 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.11.25	ABB - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.10.25	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Jorge Wilstermann - The Strongest	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
12.11.25	The Strongest - Aurora	2:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.09.25	Aurora - The Strongest	2:1
18.04.25	The Strongest - Aurora	3:2
24.11.24	Aurora - The Strongest	1:0
27.07.24	The Strongest - Aurora	1:1
04.11.23	Aurora - The Strongest	0:3
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.08.23	The Strongest - Aurora	0:1

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