Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Vado		Barletta

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.25	2.92	3.05
	2.56	3.26	2.41
	2.24	3.18	3.01	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.26	3	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	3.04 ↑ (3)	2.87 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
38.7%

Draw
29.7%

Barletta
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Vado - Barletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Vita D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Pisanu M. ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

Vado is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Barletta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vado could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vado won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Vado - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
24.05.26	Barletta - Vado	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Vado - Folgore Caratese	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	NovaRomentin - Vado	0:5 ✺
19.04.26	Vado - Cairese	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lavagnese - Vado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTW
- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group A
24.05.26	Barletta - Vado	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Scafatese - Barletta	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Barletta - Savoia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
03.05.26	Nardo - Barletta	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Heraclea - Barletta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.05.26	Barletta - Vado	2:1

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