Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Lavagnese		Vado

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.2	1.72
	4.12	3.25	1.78
	3.21	3.41	2.08	Watch
	3.9	3	1.85
	4.59	3.28	1.73
	5.17	3.64	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (5.32)	3.3 ↓ (3.65)	1.79 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lavagnese
21.4%

Draw
27.6%

Vado
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

24.8%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

23.9%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavagnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lavagnese - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Rosa F. ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, Vita D. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, D'Antoni R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lavagnese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vado is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lavagnese won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.04.26	Gozzano - Lavagnese	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Lavagnese - Club Milano	2:4 ✺
22.03.26	Ligorna - Lavagnese	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Lavagnese - Imperia	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sestri Levante - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.04.26	Vado - Chisola	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Gozzano - Vado	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Vado - Valenzana Mado	6:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vado - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Varese - Vado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
30.11.25	Vado - Lavagnese	1:0
27.04.25	Vado - Lavagnese	0:1
14.12.24	Lavagnese - Vado	1:2
07.04.24	Lavagnese - Vado	2:2
26.11.23	Vado - Lavagnese	3:0
27.02.22	Vado - Lavagnese	3:0
20.10.21	Lavagnese - Vado	1:1

Upcoming Matches