Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 8

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Valadares Gaia		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	1.9	2.95	3.75
	2.11	3.05	3.25
	2.16	2.94	3.75
	2.05	3.16	3.4
	2.15	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.81)	3.03 ↓ (3.08)	3.43 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valadares Gaia
43.6%

Draw
29.9%

Alpendorada
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

29.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valadares Gaia's form might have worsened.

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alpendorada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valadares Gaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alpendorada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Valadares Gaia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alpendorada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Valadares Gaia have a series of guest games.

In this match Valadares Gaia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Resende - Valadares Gaia	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Casa Pia - Valadares Gaia	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.11.22	Camacha - Valadares Gaia	2:2 ✺
30.10.22	Valadares Gaia - Machico	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Leça - Valadares Gaia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTWL
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Alpendorada - Camacha	3:2 ✺
06.11.22	Machico - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Alpendorada - Leça	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Castro Daire - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Alpendorada - Beira-Mar	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WTWLL

Valadares Gaia - Alpendorada

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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