Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Alpendorada		Camacha

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.15	4.75
	1.91	3	5.05
	1.82	3.23	4.51
	1.7	3.15	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)	3.13 ↑ (3)	4.77 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
51.5%

Draw
29.3%

Camacha
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.1%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alpendorada's performance.

Camacha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camacha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alpendorada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camacha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alpendorada - Camacha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Jony J. ⚽,
69', 2 - 0, Willian ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Alpendorada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alpendorada won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Alpendorada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	União Lamas - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Alpendorada - Régua	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Gondomar - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Marítimo B - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWLTW
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	Camacha - Régua	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Leça - Camacha	4:1 ✺
26.01.25	Camacha - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Machico - Camacha	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Camacha - Guarda FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.10.24	Camacha - Alpendorada	0:0
26.02.23	Camacha - Alpendorada	0:1
13.11.22	Alpendorada - Camacha	3:2

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