The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valenciennes 22.7%
Draw 25.1%
Châteauroux 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
25.4%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
24.3%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valenciennes's form might have worsened.
Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Châteauroux's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+30.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valenciennes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-29%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Châteauroux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.9%
10.7%
80.4%
Valenciennes - Châteauroux Predictions
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 5 - 8.9%). Châteauroux will win (votes: 45 - 80.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Châteauroux: 70% – 90.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Châteauroux will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Lacombe J. (G) 2. Abu D. 29. Coeff A. 33. Bourichon N. 28. Wahib A. 11. Appuah S. 25. Belloumou S. (C) 27. Daubin Q. 26. Diomande D. 18. Courtet G. 8. Rouai M.
16. Lavallee L. (G) 12. Koembo J. 6. Kelo G. 28. Mopila S. 39. Beneddine M. 21. Chahid Y. 18. Tjomb G. 13. Jean C. (C) 5. Wade P. 10. Freitas R. 19. Piquionne L.
Substitutes
12. Airhiavbere E. 22. Boissier R. 10. Ipiele A. 4. Landre L. 14. Raheriniaina E. H.
7. Ahmed A. 20. Bouaoune I. 29. Diakhaby L. 23. Djaha A. 14. Verdier Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Appuah S. ⚽, Rouai M. (A),
22', Koembo J. 🟨,
45+2', Coeff A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tjomb G. ↓, Bouaoune I. ↑,
46', Courtet G. 🟨,
61', Daubin Q. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
61', Diomande D. ↓, Raheriniaina E. H. ↑,
71', Jean C. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
76', Appuah S. ↓, Boissier R. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Freitas R. ⚽, Piquionne L. (A),
83', Abu D. ↓, Landre L. ↑,
83', Bourichon N. ↓, Airhiavbere E. ↑,
86', Wade P. ↓, Verdier Y. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Courtet G. ⚽, Boissier R. (A),
90+3', Beneddine M. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Verdier Y. ⚽, Kelo G. (A),
90+6', Mopila S. 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 3.
Valenciennes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Châteauroux has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Châteauroux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Châteauroux is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Valenciennes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Valenciennes
9
2
2
5
9:14
-5
8
Last Results with these Odds
Châteauroux - the odds 3.79 are the expected chance of winning is 24.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Lacombe J. (G) 
Abu D. 
Wahib A. 
Mopila S. 
Airhiavbere E. 
Ipiele A. 
Raheriniaina E. H. 
Ahmed A. 
Bouaoune I. 
Diakhaby L. 
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