Match Info

National - Round 16

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Grand Lille, FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Valenciennes		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.05	2.58
	2.94	3.15	2.7
	2.67	2.97	2.62	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.62	2.96	2.56	Watch
	2.83	2.83	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.54)	2.98 ↓ (2.98)	2.63 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
34%

Draw
30.9%

Sochaux
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-3%)

Valenciennes - Sochaux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Louchet J. (G) 17. Diomande A. 32. Niakate S. 33. Marechal T. 20. Koum Mbondo A. 28. Wahib A. 26. Diomande D. 22. Boissier R. 8. Rouai M. 18. Courtet G. (C) 14. Raheriniaina E. H.	30. Pierre A. (G) 26. N'Gatta E. 17. Youssouf B. 14. Peybernes M. (C) 24. Tavares D. 6. Mendes E. 23. Masson J. 28. Boutoutaou A. 15. Mexique J. 7. Gomel B. 9. Djoco K.
Substitutes
2. Abu D. 11. Appuah S. 10. Ipiele A. 31. Ngoya J. 13. Takaoka R.	8. Bayanginisa H. 10. Fofana B. 19. Lecolier M. 22. Loubao S. 20. Mendy P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Boutoutaou A. ⚽,
19', Mendes E. 🟨,
22', Tavares D. 🟨,
45', N'Gatta E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', N'Gatta E. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,
51', Diomande A. 🟨,
60', Marechal T. ↓, Appuah S. ↑,
70', Niakate S. 🟨,
71', Boutoutaou A. ↓, Loubao S. ↑,
71', Gomel B. ↓, Fofana B. ↑,
72', Diomande D. ↓, Takaoka R. ↑,
76', Boissier R. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
82', Pierre A. 🟨,
86', Masson J. ↓, Bayanginisa H. ↑,
86', Djoco K. ↓, Lecolier M. ↑,
89', Fofana B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 3.

Valenciennes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sochaux is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sochaux may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sochaux has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Valenciennes won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Sochaux - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.66%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
05.12.25	Dijon - Valenciennes	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Valenciennes - Fleury 91	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Versailles - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Valenciennes - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Aubagne - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWT
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
05.12.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Sarre-Union - Sochaux	0:6 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.11.25	Sochaux - Dijon	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Pontarlier - Sochaux	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
07.11.25	Fleury 91 - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
14.03.25	Valenciennes - Sochaux	1:0
18.10.24	Sochaux - Valenciennes	2:0
French Ligue 2
31.01.23	Sochaux - Valenciennes	4:0
01.10.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	2:1
07.05.22	Valenciennes - Sochaux	1:0
21.12.21	Sochaux - Valenciennes	1:1
15.02.21	Sochaux - Valenciennes	2:0

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