Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Valenciennes		Troyes

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.21	3.29
	2.25	3.25	3
	2.25	3.36	3.13	Watch
	2.28	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.59)	3.25 ↑ (3.22)	3.12 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
41%

Draw
28.9%

Troyes
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	81.8%	9.1%

Valenciennes - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Troyes will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Louchet J. (G) 24. Linguet A. 39. Buatu J. 4. Moore T. 15. Woudenberg L. 6. Masson J. (C) 28. Bruno Costa 93. Knockaert A. 23. Kruse D. 17. Boutoutaou A. 10. Venema N.	38. Alemdar D. (G) 18. Balde T. 5. Tahrat M. 22. Zoukrou B. 8. Boura I. 42. Kante A. 10. M'Changama Y. 21. Ilic L. 24. Chavalerin X. (C) 27. Dong K. 40. Assoumou J.
Substitutes
11. Bonnet U. 7. Boudraa S. 14. Cuffaut J. 30. Diabate L. (G) 20. Hamache I. 34. Lilepo M. 5. Poha J.	12. Conte A. 28. Diop M. 33. Kohon R. 34. Lefebvre A. 16. Lemaitre N. (G) 23. Olaitan J. 11. Said R.
Coaches
Maciel J.	Kisnorbo P.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
30.09.23	Laval - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Amiens - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Valenciennes - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Saint-Étienne - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLT
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
30.09.23	Troyes - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
26.09.23	Rodez - Troyes	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Troyes - Auxerre	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Annecy - Troyes	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Troyes - Quevilly	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.02.21	Valenciennes - Troyes	2:2
24.10.20	Troyes - Valenciennes	1:1
01.11.19	Troyes - Valenciennes	1:0
05.04.19	Valenciennes - Troyes	0:1
03.11.18	Troyes - Valenciennes	4:2
07.04.17	Valenciennes - Troyes	2:0
04.11.16	Troyes - Valenciennes	2:0

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