Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 9

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Laval		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	5	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.5
	1.83	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.44	5.07
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.79	3.42	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.65)	3.32 ↓ (3.78)	4.7 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
51.7%

Draw
28.3%

Valenciennes
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laval's form might have worsened.

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Laval - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: Laval will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 39. Goncalves A. 3. Baudry M. 23. Tavares Y. 15. Diaw E. 20. Cherni A. 7. Vargas T. 4. Roye J. (C) 6. Sanna S. 9. Kadile J. 18. Tchokounte M.	16. Louchet J. (G) 24. Linguet A. 39. Buatu J. 4. Moore T. 15. Woudenberg L. 6. Masson J. (C) 28. Bruno Costa 17. Boutoutaou A. 23. Kruse D. 20. Hamache I. 11. Bonnet U.
Substitutes
12. Balde Y. 28. Bobichon A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 11. Labeau R. 35. Ouaneh P. 14. Tell J. 22. Thomas T.	8. Banse S. 7. Boudraa S. 14. Cuffaut J. 30. Diabate L. (G) 93. Knockaert A. 5. Poha J. 10. Venema N.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Maciel J.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Laval won 1.

Laval in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Valenciennes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Laval is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Laval to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Laval won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Laval won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
26.09.23	Paris FC - Laval	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Laval - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Bastia - Laval	0:3 ✺
02.09.23	Laval - Caen	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Quevilly - Laval	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWT
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
26.09.23	Valenciennes - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Amiens - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Valenciennes - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Saint-Étienne - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Rodez - Valenciennes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Valenciennes - Laval	3:1
12.11.22	Laval - Valenciennes	1:0
03.02.17	Laval - Valenciennes	0:0
26.08.16	Valenciennes - Laval	2:0
18.03.16	Laval - Valenciennes	0:3
30.10.15	Valenciennes - Laval	0:0
08.05.15	Valenciennes - Laval	2:2

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