Match Info

National - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Grand Lille, BFM Lyon
World	FIFA+


	Valenciennes		Villefranche

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.15
	1.88	3.52	4.49
	1.31	5.14	8.07	Watch
	1.82	3.38	4.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	3.86 ↑ (3.61)	5.23 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
56.6%

Draw
25%

Villefranche
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Valenciennes - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valenciennes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Louchet J. (G) 17. Diomande A. 4. Landre L. 29. Coeff A. 28. Wahib A. 22. Boissier R. 8. Rouai M. 11. Appuah S. 14. Raheriniaina E. H. 26. Diomande D. 18. Courtet G. (C)	1. Pean S. (G) 4. Valentim E. 17. Camelo L. 14. Dekoke N. (C) 2. Sbai H. 18. Keita S. 10. Mroivili R. 8. Marcel V. 3. Grippon T. 9. Leye B. 26. Thoumin A.
Substitutes
7. Baghdadi S. 25. Belloumou S. 9. Inchaud M. 10. Ipiele A. 6. Sissoko S.	5. Kabeya E. 27. Mixtur K. 11. Sylla K. 12. Testud K. 16. Wilzius T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Raheriniaina E. H. ⚽, Diomande D. (A),
27', Appuah S. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Courtet G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leye B. ↓, Mixtur K. ↑,
63', Sbai H. ↓, Testud K. ↑,
63', Grippon T. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
70', Diomande D. ↓, Baghdadi S. ↑,
74', Boissier R. ↓, Sissoko S. ↑,
74', Courtet G. ↓, Inchaud M. ↑,
78', Camelo L. ↓, Kabeya E. ↑,
83', Appuah S. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
83', Raheriniaina E. H. ↓, Belloumou S. ↑,
90+3', Wahib A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).

Valenciennes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villefranche's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Valenciennes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Valenciennes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
19.09.25	Caen - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Valenciennes - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Stade Briochin - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Valenciennes - Rouen FC	2:3 ✺
22.08.25	Orleans - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLLL
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
19.09.25	Villefranche - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Dijon - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Villefranche - Fleury 91	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Villefranche - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Aubagne - Villefranche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
07.03.25	Villefranche - Valenciennes	0:2
04.10.24	Valenciennes - Villefranche	2:2

Valenciennes - Villefranche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide