Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Valenzana Mado		Asti

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	2.02	3.3	3.39	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.35
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.95)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenzana Mado
45.3%

Draw
28%

Asti
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.6%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenzana Mado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asti than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Valenzana Mado - Asti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Valenzana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Asti is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Valenzana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valenzana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Asti	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
17	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	7:10	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Unione Sanremo - Valenzana Mado	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Valenzana Mado - Biellese	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	NovaRomentin - Valenzana Mado	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Chisola - Valenzana Mado	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Valenzana Mado - Cairese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLT
- ASD Asti
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Asti - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Vado - Asti	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Asti - Gozzano	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Asti - Club Milano	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ligorna - Asti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.09.25	Asti - Valenzana Mado	1:1

Valenzana Mado - Asti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide