Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Valenzana Mado		Gozzano

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.98	2.52
	2.59	2.96	2.59
	2.64	3.05	2.59	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.6
	2.66	3.33	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.59)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenzana Mado
34.4%

Draw
30.2%

Gozzano
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

29.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenzana Mado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Valenzana Mado - Gozzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Chelli G. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Valenzana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gozzano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valenzana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gozzano	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
17	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	7:10	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Gozzano - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.04.26	Varese - Valenzana Mado	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Valenzana Mado - Ligorna	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Vado - Valenzana Mado	6:1 ✺
15.03.26	Valenzana Mado - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Club Milano - Valenzana Mado	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WWLWW
- AC Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.04.26	Gozzano - Lavagnese	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gozzano - Vado	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Varese - Gozzano	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Ligorna - Gozzano	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gozzano - Imperia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
30.11.25	Gozzano - Valenzana Mado	0:1

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