Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Valenzana Mado		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.05	2.2
	3.02	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3.01	3.08	2.25
	3.05	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	3.1 (3.1)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenzana Mado
30%

Draw
29.2%

Sestri Levante
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.9%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.6%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Valenzana Mado - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sestri Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sestri Levante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valenzana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sestri Levante	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
17	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	7:10	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sestri Levante - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.03.26	Club Milano - Valenzana Mado	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Valenzana Mado - Saluzzo	1:4 ✺
15.02.26	Imperia - Valenzana Mado	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Valenzana Mado - Celle Varazze	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Derthona - Valenzana Mado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLTT
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
28.02.26	Sestri Levante - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Vado - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Sestri Levante - Gozzano	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Club Milano - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sestri Levante - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
02.11.25	Sestri Levante - Valenzana Mado	1:1

Valenzana Mado - Sestri Levante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide