Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 22Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Derthona |
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Valenzana Mado |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.27 |
2.94 |
2.94 |
|
 |
2.23 |
3.2 |
3.02 |
 Watch |
 |
2.24 |
3.08 |
3.03 |
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 |
2.22 |
3.14 |
3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.84) |
3.09 ↓
(3.43) |
3.02 ↓
(3.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derthona
40.8% | Draw
29.2% | Valenzana Mado
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derthona's form might have worsened.Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valenzana Mado's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derthona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valenzana Mado, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Derthona - Valenzana Mado Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Daffonchio A. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Palazzolo N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).Derthona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Valenzana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). Derthona might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derthona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
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| 17 | Valenzana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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