Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Valenzana Mado		Celle Varazze

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.98	2.62
	2.52	2.95	2.71
	2.54	3.05	2.69	Watch
	2.4	3	2.6
	2.49	3.34	2.72
	2.54	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.7)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	2.68 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenzana Mado
36.3%

Draw
29.9%

Celle Varazze
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Celle Varazze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celle Varazze than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Valenzana Mado - Celle Varazze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, West R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Valenzana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	7:10	-3	4
18	Celle Varazze	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.02.26	Derthona - Valenzana Mado	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Valenzana Mado - Asti	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Unione Sanremo - Valenzana Mado	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Valenzana Mado - Biellese	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	NovaRomentin - Valenzana Mado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTLW
- Celle Varazze
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.02.26	Celle Varazze - Lavagnese	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Vado - Celle Varazze	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Celle Varazze - Gozzano	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Club Milano - Celle Varazze	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Celle Varazze - Ligorna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
04.10.25	Celle Varazze - Valenzana Mado	1:1

Valenzana Mado - Celle Varazze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide