Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Valenzana Mado		Vado

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.3
	2.98	3.44	2.14	Watch
	2.85	3.13	2.33
	2.85	3.15	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.98)	3.19 ↓ (3.35)	2.28 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenzana Mado
31.5%

Draw
28.5%

Vado
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

26.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.1%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenzana Mado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valenzana Mado - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Ciccone N. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Ciliberto A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Raffini S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Valenzana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vado's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Vado - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.11.25	Sestri Levante - Valenzana Mado	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Valenzana Mado - Club Milano	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Saluzzo - Valenzana Mado	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Valenzana Mado - Imperia	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Celle Varazze - Valenzana Mado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWWWT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.11.25	Ligorna - Vado	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vado - Varese	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Pistoiese - Vado	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.10.25	Sestri Levante - Vado	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Vado - Club Milano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

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