Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Valladares		Gran Peña

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.7	3.25	2.39
	2.82	3.26	2.36
	2.74	3.32	2.37	Watch
	2.69	3.2	2.35
	2.7	3.25	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.27)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	2.37 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladares
33.3%

Draw
28.3%

Gran Peña
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladares's form might have worsened.

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gran Peña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladares than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Valladares - Gran Peña Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Valladares is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gran Peña is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gran Peña could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Valladares have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Valladares won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Valladares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Somozas - Valladares	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Valladares - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Valladares - Boiro	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Valladares - Barbadás	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Valladares - Arosa	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTTTL
- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Gran Peña - Arosa	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Barbadás - Gran Peña	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Atlético Arteixo - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gran Peña - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Betanzos - Gran Peña	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.12.24	Gran Peña - Valladares	1:1

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