Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Valladolid B		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.29	3.05	3.25
	2.3	3.01	3.25
	2.21	3.13	3.04
	2.21	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.13 ↑ (3)	3.1 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
41.2%

Draw
29.3%

Ourense CF
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

32%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Valladolid B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ourense CF is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Valladolid B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Valladolid B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Compostela - Valladolid B	4:1 ✺
22.10.23	Valladolid B - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Arandina - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Valladolid B - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Rayo Cantabria - Valladolid B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.10.23	Ourense CF - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	RC Villalbes - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Ourense CF - Deportivo A Coruña B	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Ourense CF - Zamora	0:3 ✺
01.10.23	Compostela - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.05.23	Valladolid B - Ourense CF	2:2
08.01.23	Ourense CF - Valladolid B	1:0

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