The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ourense CF 58.7%
Draw 24.5%
Gimnástica de Torrelavega 16.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.5%
26.1%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
24.8%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ourense CF's performance.
Gimnástica de Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica de Torrelavega might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense CF that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica de Torrelavega could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ourense CF - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Nchama R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Rami ⚽,
90', 3 - 0, Viti ⚽,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 18th in the Relegation).
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Torrelavega may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Ourense CF is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Ourense CF has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ourense CF against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Watch
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