Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Valladolid B		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.75	3.45	4.1
	1.98	3.35	3.73
	1.9	3.32	3.86
	1.95	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.77)	3.31 ↑ (2.9)	3.76 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid B
48.2%

Draw
27.6%

Palencia CA
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

31.2%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palencia CA's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valladolid B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Valladolid B - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

Recent matches Valladolid B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palencia CA is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valladolid B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valladolid B is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Valladolid B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.03.23	Real Avilés - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Valladolid B - Arenteiro	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Valladolid B	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Coruxo - Valladolid B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWT
- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.03.23	Real Oviedo B - Palencia CA	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Palencia CA - Real Avilés	1:3 ✺
25.02.23	Arenteiro - Palencia CA	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Palencia CA - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Bergantiños - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.10.22	Palencia CA - Valladolid B	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Valladolid B - Palencia CA	2:1

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