Match Info

Date: 12 March 2020, Thursday


	Valledupar		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.5
	2	3	3.6
	1.95	3.13	3.47
	2.06	3.2	3.86
	2	3.1	3.7
	2	3.2	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.09)	3.12 ↑ (3.08)	3.64 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valledupar
45.6%

Draw
29.3%

Fortaleza
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.3%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

20.3%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valledupar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91%	7.5%	1.5%

Valledupar - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: Valledupar will win (61 of 67 users predict this - 91.04%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.2% – 97.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
09.03.20	Bogotá - Valledupar	3:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
05.03.20	Deportes Quindío - Valledupar	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
02.03.20	Valledupar - Real San Andrés	2:1 ✺
23.02.20	Cartagena - Valledupar	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
19.02.20	Valledupar - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWWL
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
11.03.20	Fortaleza - Pacajus	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
08.03.20	Fortaleza - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.03.20	Fortaleza - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
05.03.20	Fortaleza - Orsomarso	1:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
04.03.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
18.09.19	Fortaleza - Valledupar	0:0
06.04.19	Valledupar - Fortaleza	1:1
19.09.18	Fortaleza - Valledupar	2:2
21.04.18	Valledupar - Fortaleza	3:1
08.07.17	Fortaleza - Valledupar	3:0
18.02.17	Valledupar - Fortaleza	1:0
01.08.15	Valledupar - Fortaleza	1:1

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