Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera B - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 4

Date: 13 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online


	Llaneros SA		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.49	3.9	6.4	Watch
	1.5	3.9	7.48
	1.52	3.77	7.03	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.47	3.92	6.77	Watch
	1.49	3.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)	3.87 ↑ (3.65)	6.73 ↑ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
62.5%

Draw
23.8%

Orsomarso
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.2%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

24.2%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Llaneros SA - Orsomarso Predictions

Users Predictions: Llaneros SA will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armesto K. (G) 20. Angulo J. 5. Cadavid A. 7. Duarte W. 33. Lasso J. 4. Mojica A. 27. Mosquera D. 21. Ospina N. 99. Restrepo E. 6. Sierra M. 10. Uruena B. (C)	12. Benitez B. (G) 32. Agamez S. 17. Angulo S. H. J. 16. Castano J. 6. Copete D. 7. Girado S. 20. Ibarra C. 8. Mayo S. (C) 3. Palacios M. 18. Ruiz A. 29. Salazar J.
Substitutes
11. Bogota C. 12. Cadavid A. (G) 9. Caicedo J. F. 19. Churi B. 23. Nieva J. 15. Valencia C. 26. Verdugo A.	21. Aragon A. 5. Benavides G. 2. Correa B. 10. Gomez L. 30. Palacios Canola A. C. 27. Palacios Mosquera D. 14. Segura O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Palacios M. ↓, Aragon A. ↑,
41', Angulo S. H. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Girado S. ↓, Palacios Mosquera D. ↑,
46', Salazar J. ↓, Benavides G. ↑,
51', Ruiz A. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Angulo S. H. J. (Own goal),
56', Mayo S. ↓, Correa B. ↑,
58', Agamez S. 🟨,
63', Aragon A. 🟨,
67', Duarte W. ↓, Verdugo A. ↑,
67', Mosquera D. ↓, Caicedo J. F. ↑,
81', Lasso J. ↓, Valencia C. ↑,
90', Ospina N. ↓, Churi B. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Llaneros SA won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Llaneros SA is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Llaneros SA to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Llaneros SA won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Llaneros SA won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera B
09.11.24	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Llaneros SA - Real Cartagena	5:1 ✺
30.10.24	Deportes Quindío - Llaneros SA	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Llaneros SA - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
16.10.24	Real Santander - Llaneros SA	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW
- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
09.11.24	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Orsomarso - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:3 ✺
14.10.24	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
09.11.24	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	2:0
24.09.24	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	1:1
19.06.24	Llaneros SA - Orsomarso	3:2 penalties
16.06.24	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	0:0
19.04.24	Llaneros SA - Orsomarso	1:0
14.08.23	Orsomarso - Llaneros SA	0:2
25.02.23	Llaneros SA - Orsomarso	2:1

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