Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 6

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday


	Leones		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.9	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.96	3.43	2.41
	2.96	3.43	2.41
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	2.91	3.28	2.33	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.01)	3.31 ↑ (3.17)	2.31 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
32.2%

Draw
27.9%

Llaneros SA
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.3%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

28.3%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Leones - Llaneros SA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Montoya J. (C) 8. Arango W. 13. Arboleda M. 15. Mosquera S. 34. Osorio Ceballos J. S. 3. Renteria J. 7. Rodriguez Cespedes C. 19. Ruiz J. 21. Torres J. 2. Urrea S. 18. Villa D.	1. Armesto K. (G) 29. Alvarez M. 20. Angulo J. 32. Arbelaez F. 31. Montes G. 27. Mosquera D. 16. Mosquera M. 21. Ospina N. 6. Sierra M. 10. Uruena B. (C) 26. Verdugo A.
Substitutes
14. Crespo S. 29. Fruto R. 1. Holguin C. (G) 27. Maya A. 17. Munoz J. 6. Palomeque S. 9. Valencia J.	11. Bogota C. 33. Lasso J. 4. Mina C. 17. Ordonez Ayovi R. J. 39. Quejada K. 5. Restrepo E. 22. Romana Garavito R. (G)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Leones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leones won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Leones won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
26.02.24	Leones - Tigres	2:3 ✺
21.02.24	Internacional de Palmira - Leones	2:2 ✺
16.02.24	Barranquilla - Leones	2:2 ✺
12.02.24	Leones - Atlético Cali	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Real Santander - Leones	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTWT
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera B
28.02.24	Llaneros SA - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
23.02.24	Atlético Cali - Llaneros SA	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Llaneros SA - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
12.02.24	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Llaneros SA - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
05.08.23	Llaneros SA - Leones	4:3
21.02.23	Leones - Llaneros SA	0:1
26.07.22	Leones - Llaneros SA	0:0
25.05.22	Leones - Llaneros SA	1:1
22.05.22	Llaneros SA - Leones	3:3
23.04.22	Llaneros SA - Leones	1:0
04.10.21	Llaneros SA - Leones	4:3

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