Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Valletta		Tarxien Rainbows

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.15	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.37	6.47
	1.41	4.45	6.52	Watch
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.42	4.38	6.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	4.25 ↑ (4.23)	6.55 ↓ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
64.6%

Draw
21.5%

Tarxien Rainbows
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

21.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

20.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Valletta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. 3. Ellul M. 44. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 19. Tavares D. 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri 8. Zammit A.	1. Cassar A. (C) 10. Claudio Murici 4. D'Alessandro M. 11. Erico Junior 77. Grima M. 6. Kuku A. 9. Lokosa A. 23. Nhayson 54. Panic P. 70. Schmidt P. 8. Wesley Hudson
Substitutes
29. Adebayo A. 1. Archibald J. (G) 28. Brewer S. 80. Chetcuti S. 13. Frendo L. (G) 17. Grech M. P. 99. Meijer S. 31. Melillo T. 98. Mendoza J. 18. Ohaka P. 77. Thaylor	22. Aguek M. 17. Bird N. 99. Bird T. 20. Borg L. 88. Gatt K. 18. Mizzi S. 33. Musulin M. 94. Spiteri M. (G) 7. Valverde A. 74. Vella A. 21. Vella K.
Coaches
Micallef T.	Scerri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Micallef N. 🟨,
26', D'Alessandro M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Yuri (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Wesley Hudson ↓, Musulin M. ↑,
46', Erico Junior ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
46', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Vella A. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Yankam Y. ⚽,
59', Kuku A. 🟨,
59', Ellul M. ↓, Thaylor ↑,
59', Schmidt P. ↓, Aguek M. ↑,
69', Borg S. ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
69', Yuri ↓, Meijer S. ↑,
69', Zammit A. ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Adebayo A. ⚽,
76', Azzopardi J. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
78', Nhayson ↓, Mizzi S. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).

Tarxien is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Valletta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valletta is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:12. (average 2.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:4. (average 2.3:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valletta	6	4	1	1	15:6	9	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	3:1 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Valletta	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	0:1 ✺
17.02.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Valletta	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Gżira United - Valletta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLTW
- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Floriana - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	0:1
Maltese Premier League
28.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	1:2
Maltese Challenge League
01.03.25	Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows	3:0
26.10.24	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	1:0
Maltese FA Trophy
15.03.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	1:5
Maltese Premier League
29.11.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	3:1
26.10.19	Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows	3:1

Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide