The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valletta 49.7%
Draw 29%
Sliema Wanderers 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
28.8%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
27.1%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valletta's performance.
Sliema Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sliema Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valletta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sliema Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Valletta - Sliema Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Bicakcic E. 9. Gomes B. 33. Mbende E. 94. Morello M. 10. Paiber B. (C) 21. Prsa R. 55. Radic S. 19. Tavares D. 8. Zammit A.
1. Bonello H. (G) 2. Borg J. 29. Cojocaru I. 28. Drobarov V. 11. Gambarte B. 15. Gustavo Alcino 19. Karelis N. 17. Limbombe A. 70. Pisani S. (C) 40. Polley R. 23. Satariano A.
Substitutes
32. Alex Tanque 18. Ancilleri M. 5. Chetcuti S. 3. Ellul M. 80. Ewurum K. 98. Formosa Z. 13. Frendo L. (G) 44. Micallef N. 42. Sylla M. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y.
30. Alli W. M. 20. Brincat Winters E. 4. Camara D. 13. Grima G. 14. Grima K. 33. Hijazi U. 18. Kouadio C. 31. Lauri F. (G) 8. Lorenzi M. 7. Overend A. 5. Zammit D.
Coaches
Micallef T.
Nisevic B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Pisani S. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Karelis N. ↓, Overend A. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Zammit A. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Tavares D. ↓, Thaylor ↑,
67', Morello M. ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
67', Prsa R. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
67', Zammit A. ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,
71', Borg J. ↓, Kouadio C. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Limbombe A. ⚽,
83', Paiber B. 🟨,
83', Azzopardi J. ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,
84', Drobarov V. 🟨,
86', Gomes B. 🟨,
87', Gambarte B. 🟨,
88', Paiber B. 🟨,
90', Radic S. 🟨,
90+1', Gambarte B. ↓, Lorenzi M. ↑,
90+1', Limbombe A. ↓, Alli W. M. ↑,
90+6', Lorenzi M. 🟨,
90+8', Overend A. ↓, Hijazi U. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Yankam Y. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 0.
Valletta arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sliema Wanderers shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Valletta has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Valletta for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Valletta has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:18 (averaging 1.4:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Valletta against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:9 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).