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Current Win Probability
Valletta 17.1%
Draw 35.4%
Sliema Wanderers 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
29.8%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
29.3%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valletta's form might have worsened.
Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sliema Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+26.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valletta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-20.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sliema Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valletta - Sliema Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 29. Adebayo A. 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. (C) 3. Ellul M. 33. Mbende E. 98. Mendoza J. 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri
22. Al Tumi R. (G) 77. Awad M. 2. Borg J. (C) 11. Djuranovic U. 94. Fernandinho 15. Gustavo Alcino 31. Murilo Henrique 7. Overend A. 12. Prsa R. 19. Seruca A. 93. Thiaguinho
Substitutes
1. Archibald J. (G) 17. Chetcuti S. 5. El Nasar E. 80. Formosa Z. 18. Grech M. P. 99. Meijer S. 31. Melillo T. 44. Micallef N. 9. Ohaka P. 19. Tavares D. 8. Zammit A.
18. Agius E. 25. Agu E. (G) 6. Belfiore J. F. 5. Frendo N. 1. Lauri F. (G) 95. Marcelo Santos 3. Micallef N. 10. Montebello L. 70. Pisani S. 21. Strickland N. 20. Wescley
Coaches
Micallef T.
Doffo P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Fernandinho 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Awad M. ⚽,
65', Yankam Y. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
66', Djuranovic U. ↓, Marcelo Santos ↑,
73', Ellul M. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
78', Marcelo Santos 🟨,
80', Overend A. ↓, Pisani S. ↑,
80', Fernandinho ↓, Wescley ↑,
82', Yuri ↓, Meijer S. ↑,
90+2', Murilo Henrique 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 9 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Valletta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sliema Wanderers has had a series of away games.
Valletta might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
Malta
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Maringa Adilson (G) 
Adebayo A. 
Azzopardi J. 
Mbende E. 
Mendoza J. 
Radic S. 
Thaylor 
Awad M. 
Djuranovic U. 
Prsa R. 
Seruca A. 
Archibald J. (G) 
Meijer S. 
Doffo P. 
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