Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 23

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Valletta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.95	3.45	1.6	Watch
	5.62	3.32	1.69
	5.39	4.07	1.53	Watch
	6	3.7	1.5
	5.35	3.32	1.63
	5.33	3.14	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (5.15)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
16.7%

Draw
26%

Valletta
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

24.6%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

23.5%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Żabbar St. Patrick - Valletta Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Żabbar will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Valletta will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valletta (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombo I. (G) 11. Agius N. 9. Cejas P. 8. Figueiredo B. 10. Gambarte B. (C) 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 19. Majok A. 16. Micallef J. 71. Pisani J. 55. Scicluna K.	90. Maringa Adilson (G) 29. Adebayo A. 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. (C) 3. Ellul M. 33. Mbende E. 98. Mendoza J. 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 50. Yuri 8. Zammit A.
Substitutes
77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 5. Forte M. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 20. Micallef L. 18. Mota L. 23. Polidano Z. 30. Scicluna R. 7. Soldo M. 28. Vinicius Paiva	1. Archibald J. (G) 9. El Nasar E. 80. James L. 99. Meijer S. 31. Melillo T. 44. Micallef N. 24. Muscat R. 18. Ohaka P. 10. Paiber B. 19. Tavares D. 20. Yankam Y.
Coaches
Agius G.	Micallef T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Radic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agius N. ↓, Mota L. ↑,
57', Zammit A. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
57', Mendoza J. ↓, Paiber B. ↑,
64', Micallef J. 🟨,
66', Azzopardi J. 🟨,
68', Yuri 🟨,
70', Ellul M. ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,
83', Adebayo A. ↓, Meijer S. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).

Żabbar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valletta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Valletta is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valletta	6	4	1	1	15:6	9	13
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
13.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Paola Hibernians - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Floriana	0:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLLLW
- Valletta FC
Maltese Premier League
13.02.26	Gżira United - Valletta	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Birkirkara - Valletta	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Valletta - Floriana	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Valletta - Naxxar Lions	4:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
02.11.25	Valletta - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2
Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	Valletta - Żabbar St. Patrick	5:1

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