Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: BC Place (Vancouver, BC) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	22:00	TSN 1, TSN 5
Usa	22:00	MLS Season Pass
International	02:00	Apple TV


	Vancouver Whitecaps		Tijuana

	1	X	2
	2	4	3.2	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.1
	2	4	3.2	Watch
	2.04	4.02	3.4
	2	4.02	3.31	Watch
	2	3.98	3.33	Watch
	2	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.5)	3.95 ↑ (3.3)	3.25 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vancouver Whitecaps
47.2%

Draw
23.9%

Tijuana
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vancouver Whitecaps's performance.

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vancouver Whitecaps that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	5.3%	5.3%

Vancouver Whitecaps - Tijuana Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Vancouver will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Tijuana will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 75.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Takaoka Y. (G) 2. Laborda M. 12. Halbouni B. 15. Utvik B. 16. Berhalter S. 13. Priso-Mbongue R. 20. Cubas A. 8. Schopf A. 11. Picault F. 24. White B. (C) 7. Raposo R.	2. Rodriguez A. (G) 15. Barbosa D. 31. Bilbao U. 28. Gomez A. 4. Diaz N. 6. Corona J. 18. Mejia A. 11. Alvarez E. 10. Castaneda K. 16. Vega A. 32. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
22. Ahmed A. 17. Bendik J. (G) 32. Boehmer I. (G) 27. Bovalina G. 41. Goldthorp E. 28. Johnson L. 19. Kreilach D. 83. Linder F. 4. Veselinovic R. 45. Vite P.	203. Alvarez J. 19. Armenta E. 185. Barrera G. (G) 27. Blanco D. 20. Contreras F. 30. Corona J. (G) 24. Hernandez J. 3. Inzunza R. 8. Madrigal F. 21. Monarrez F. 23. Tona I. 26. Zuniga J.
Coaches
Sartini V.	Osorio J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Castaneda K. ⚽, Barbosa D. (A),
25', Castaneda K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Priso-Mbongue R. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
46', Schopf A. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Picault F. ⚽, Johnson L. (A),
52', Castaneda K. ↓, Inzunza R. ↑,
62', Rodriguez A. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
62', Vega A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
75', Gomez A. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Johnson L. ⚽, Cubas A. (A),
81', Mejia A. 🟥,
83', 3 - 1, Vite P. ⚽, Picault F. (A),
87', Gomez A. ↓, Contreras F. ↑,
87', Gonzalez C. ↓, Tona I. ↑,
89', Picault F. ↓, Bovalina G. ↑,
89', White B. ↓, Kreilach D. ↑,
90+7', Raposo R. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vancouver could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tijuana have a series of guest games.

Vancouver will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Vancouver: Blackmon T. (Groin Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Whitecaps
CONCACAF League Cup
30.07.24	Los Angeles - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Wrexham	1:4 ✺
MLS
20.07.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo	3:4 ✺
17.07.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLLWW
- Club Tijuana
CONCACAF League Cup
26.07.24	Los Angeles - Tijuana	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
19.07.24	Atlético San Luis - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
16.07.24	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	3:0 ✺
12.07.24	Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara	4:2 ✺
05.07.24	Querétaro - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTLWW

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