The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 73.1%
Draw 16.5%
Tijuana 10.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62%
22.3%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.5%
23.2%
15.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Cruz Azul - Tijuana Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Tijuana (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cruz Azul will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. (C) 33. Piovi G. 3. Campos O. 8. Palavecino A. 16. Marquez J. 29. Rotondi C. 10. Montano A. 19. Rodriguez C. 21. Fernandez G.
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Inzunza R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 20. Zapata A. 22. Rivero I. 17. Arciga R. 10. Castaneda K. 11. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.
Substitutes
170. Castro A. 209. Diaz J. 11. Ebere C. 1. Gudino A. (G) 214. Levy M. 194. Morales A. 20. Paradela J. 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L. 193. Velazquez K.
31. Abreu D. 4. Bilbao U. 34. Boya F. 5. Escamilla K. 202. Gonzalez J. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 188. Magallon A. 30. Martinez J. 19. Mora G. 26. Perez A.
Coaches
Larcamon N.
Abreu S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Fernandez G. (Penalty Awarded),
20', Inzunza R. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, El Ghezouani M. ⚽,
45+1', Lira E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Lira E. ↓, Paradela J. ↑,
61', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
71', Montano A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
71', Palavecino A. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
76', Castaneda K. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
76', Arciga R. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
84', Campos O. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
84', Marquez J. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
90', Zapata A. 🟨,
90+2', Ditta W. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cruz Azul is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Tijuana: Tona I.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Cruz Azul: Ibanez N.
(Injury)
Orozco J.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
Mexico
South-america
Usa
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Mier K. (G) 
Lira E. (C) 
Piovi G. 
Fernandez G. 
Porozo J. 
El Ghezouani M. 
Ebere C. 
Bilbao U. 
Boya F. 
Martinez J. 
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