Match Info

J3 League - Round 10

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Prifoods Stadium (Hachinohe)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vanraure Hachinohe		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.5
	1.93	3.35	3.55
	1.97	3.4	3.91
	1.95	3.4	3.86	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.94	3.35	3.93	Watch
	1.93	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	3.7 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanraure Hachinohe
47.4%

Draw
27.7%

Nagano Parceiro
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanraure Hachinohe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Onishi S. (G) 22. Shirai T. 20. Minoda K. 11. Yukie H. 8. Otoizumi S. 6. Doi K. 5. Inazumi D. 80. Nagata K. 7. Sato A. 9. Sawakami R. 99. Nakano S.	21. Matsubara S. (G) 5. Hasegawa Y. 3. Tomita K. 24. Sunamori K. 33. Ando K. 46. Koga S. 25. Tanaka K. 10. Yamanaka R. 14. Sanda N. 35. Lee S. 19. Ito K.
Substitutes
30. Inami Y. 16. Kaburaki M. 19. Kato S. 27. Kokubun M. 14. Senoo N. 26. Takahashi K. 96. Takao R. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 47. Wakizaka R.	9. Fujimori R. 15. Higuchi K. 13. Konishi H. 17. Kutsuna K. 23. Lim Ji-hoon 11. Shin K. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 22. Yoshida K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Otoizumi S. ⚽, Inazumi D. (A),
45+2', Nakano S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Ito K. 🟨,
57', Sanda N. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
57', Lee S. ↓, Fujimori R. ↑,
60', Nakano S. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
67', Ando K. ↓, Shin K. ↑,
78', Sato A. ↓, Senoo N. ↑,
82', Shin K. 🟨,
85', Yamanaka R. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
85', Tanaka K. ↓, Kutsuna K. ↑,
90+2', Nagata K. ↓, Kaburaki M. ↑,
90+4', Fujimori R. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vanraure won 3.

Recent matches Vanraure is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nagano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vanraure could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nagano have a series of home games.

Vanraure will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Vanraure won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Vanraure won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J3 League
12.04.25	Osaka - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Tochigi - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kochi United	3:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Albirex Niigata	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTWL
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
13.04.25	Nagano Parceiro - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Nagano Parceiro - Kagoshima United	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nagano Parceiro	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Fukushima United	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
09.11.24	Nagano Parceiro - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1
24.03.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro	1:1
08.10.23	Nagano Parceiro - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:1
08.07.23	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro	4:0
20.08.22	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro	3:1
19.06.22	Nagano Parceiro - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:1
20.10.21	Vanraure Hachinohe - Nagano Parceiro	0:0

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