Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Prifoods Stadium (Hachinohe)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Vanraure Hachinohe		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.25	3.7
	1.65	3.5	4.45	Watch
	1.71	3.55	4.5
	1.69	3.7	4.78	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.69	3.48	4.53	Watch
	1.88	3.4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	4.22 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vanraure Hachinohe
52.1%

Draw
26.3%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanraure Hachinohe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Vanraure Hachinohe - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 11. Yukie H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 3. Sawada Y. 16. Kaburaki M. 8. Otoizumi S. 7. Sato A. 80. Nagata K. 5. Inazumi D. 10. Sawakami R. 99. Nakano S.	13. Kondo I. (G) 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 14. Kikuchi K. 27. Fujimura R. 26. Akimoto R. 37. Sehata G. 29. Matsumoto K. 18. Tanaka S. 69. Izuma S. 17. Hyakuda M.
Substitutes
15. Hayami S. 30. Inami Y. 24. Kurisawa R. 13. Onishi S. (G) 90. Origbaajo I. 4. Suzuki S. 9. Takao R. 28. Tanaka T. 6. Unoki F.	36. Adachi S. 88. Kim Je-hee (G) 38. Konishi H. 25. Nakano R. 99. Nakashima T. 20. Shimokawa T. 97. Song M. 2. Tagashira R. 4. Tamashiro T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Ohata R. ⚽, Fujimura R. (A),
59', Hiramatsu W. 🟨,
62', Nakano S. ↓, Takao R. ↑,
64', Fujimura R. ↓, Shimokawa T. ↑,
64', Matsumoto K. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
69', Nagata K. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
69', Sawakami R. ↓, Origbaajo I. ↑,
73', Sehata G. ↓, Tamashiro T. ↑,
74', Sato A. ↓, Unoki F. ↑,
74', Inazumi D. ↓, Kurisawa R. ↑,
82', Tanaka S. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
82', Hyakuda M. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vanraure may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vanraure has had a series of away games.

In this match, Vanraure is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vanraure won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Vanraure won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Thespakusatsu Gunma - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.46%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanraure Hachinohe
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Yokohama FC - Vanraure Hachinohe	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Montedio Yamagata - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tochigi City - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:4 ✺
08.04.26	Tochigi - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWW
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 J3 League
29.04.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vegalta Sendai	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Yokohama FC	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Shonan Bellmare - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	5:1 ✺
04.04.26	Vegalta Sendai - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
14.02.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1
Japan J3 League
12.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:4
22.06.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0

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