Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday


	Varaždin		Dugopolje

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6.5
				Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	4 ↓ (4.25)	6.5 ↓ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varaždin
63.9%

Draw
22.4%

Dugopolje
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21.4%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.3%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dugopolje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varaždin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dugopolje than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Varaždin - Dugopolje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 4.

Recent matches Varaždin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dugopolje is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Varaždin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dugopolje have a series of home games.

In this match Varaždin is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.3:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Varaždin won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Varaždin
Club Friendly
10.01.25	Varaždin - Slaven Belupo	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.12.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	3:2 ✺
15.12.24	Varaždin - Osijek	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	0:0 ✺
29.11.24	Varaždin - Šibenik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTW
- NK Dugopolje
Club Friendly
12.01.25	Dugopolje - Slaven Belupo	0:1 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
30.11.24	Dugopolje - Zrinski Osječko	3:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
27.11.24	Dugopolje - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:1 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
22.11.24	Sesvete - Dugopolje	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Dugopolje - Orijent	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
22.05.22	Varaždin - Dugopolje	2:1
27.11.21	Dugopolje - Varaždin	0:0
16.03.19	Varaždin - Dugopolje	1:0
08.09.18	Dugopolje - Varaždin	1:2
21.04.18	Varaždin - Dugopolje	2:0
14.03.18	Varaždin - Dugopolje	1:0
07.10.17	Dugopolje - Varaždin	1:1

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