Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 15

Date: 17 July 2023, Monday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	CMore Fotboll, Discovery+


	Varbergs BoIS		AIK

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.91	Watch
	4	3.3	1.9
	4.1	3.5	1.91
	4.22	3.5	1.97
	3.9	3.1	1.83	Watch
	4.15	3.42	1.93	Watch
	4	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.53)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
23.2%

Draw
27.7%

AIK
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.7%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	17.8%	75.6%

Varbergs BoIS - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). AIK will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 63.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson D. (G) 18. Lindner J. 4. Stanisic O. (C) 3. Zackrisson H. 20. Silverholt O. 8. Le Roux L. 10. Lushaku I. 5. Nogueira V. 21. Karlsson V. 37. Krasniqi D. 11. Eliton Junior	15. Nordfeldt K. (C) 17. Thychosen M. 16. Tihi R. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 6. Haliti J. 32. Modesto R. 8. Hussein B. 7. Saletros A. 25. Otieno E. 11. Guidetti J. 19. Besirovic D.
Substitutes
24. Alfonsi D. 2. Birkfeldt J. 40. Dahlstrom N. 31. Dryselius V. (G) 39. El Ouatki Y. 45. Sainte M. 6. Sisse F. 38. Sverrisson O. 7. Tranberg R.	18. Ali A. 45. Ayari T. 12. Bjornstrom A. 35. Brolin S. (G) 24. Dabo L. 10. Durmaz J. 20. Elbouzedi Z. 14. Magashy A. 34. Mbunga Kimpioka B.
Coaches
Skogman M.	Berg H.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1.

Varberg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches AIK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AIK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match AIK is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.07.23	IFK Göteborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.06.23	Elfsborg - Varbergs BoIS	6:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.06.23	Varbergs BoIS - Halmstad	1:2 ✺
05.06.23	Varbergs BoIS - Häcken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLL
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
08.07.23	AIK - Häcken	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Brommapojkarna - AIK	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.23	Norrköping - AIK	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.06.23	AIK - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
04.06.23	AIK - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
06.03.23	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.09.22	Varbergs BoIS - AIK	2:0
20.04.22	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
21.11.21	Varbergs BoIS - AIK	0:1
10.07.21	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	2:1
02.11.20	AIK - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
19.07.20	Varbergs BoIS - AIK	2:2

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