Match Info

Superettan - Round 18

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	14:00	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	13:00	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Kalmar		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.78	3.6	3.9
	1.85	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.69	4.07
	1.8	3.4	3.9
	1.87	3.64	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.67)	3.61 ↓ (4)	3.96 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kalmar
50.6%

Draw
25.9%

Varbergs BoIS
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.4%

23.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kalmar's form might have worsened.

Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kalmar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Varberg will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Varberg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Varberg (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kalmar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 3 - 60%). Varberg (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 6. Sjostedt R. 33. Mamatsashvili S. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 20. Sosseh G. 37. Kalinauskas T. 10. Jebara C. 9. Stolt M.	29. Andersson F. (G) 4. Dahlstrom N. 12. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 24. Hellman E. 13. Edlund O. 28. Sadiku E. 5. Winbo A. 10. Shabani L. 15. Jonasson Westermark J. 42. Kabuye C.
Substitutes
7. Atanga I. 14. Djoro A. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 21. Magashy A. 11. Olusanya A. 28. Sabriye A. 19. Ylatupa S.	19. Appiah Nyarko K. 31. Dryselius V. (G) 8. Liljenback A. 18. Lindner J. 11. Mohudin N. A. 16. Thorsson A. 21. Vidjeskog I.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Hansen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Hallberg M. 🟨,
34', Saetra L. 🟨,
39', Sosseh G. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Kalinauskas T. ⚽, Jebara C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Saetra L. ⚽, Kalinauskas T. (A),
60', Dahlstrom N. 🟨,
65', Sosseh G. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
65', Stolt M. ↓, Olusanya A. ↑,
65', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Sabriye A. ↑,
75', Edlund O. ↓, Lindner J. ↑,
75', Winbo A. ↓, Liljenback A. ↑,
76', Sadiku E. ↓, Vidjeskog I. ↑,
76', Kabuye C. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
82', Lindner J. ↓, Mohudin N. A. ↑,
87', Hallberg M. (Pen),
90', Mamatsashvili S. ↓, Ylatupa S. ↑,
90+1', Jebara C. ↓, Atanga I. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 3.

In recent matches, Kalmar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Varberg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kalmar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
02.08.25	Trelleborg - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Kalmar - Utsikten	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Kalmar - Brage	2:2 ✺
29.06.25	Örebro - Kalmar	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TWTTL
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
02.08.25	Varbergs BoIS - Örgryte	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Varbergs BoIS - Sundsvall	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Varbergs BoIS - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Oddevold - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
25.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Kalmar	0:0
Svenska Cupen
22.02.25	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	3:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.07.23	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
30.04.23	Varbergs BoIS - Kalmar	0:0
05.09.22	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
10.04.22	Varbergs BoIS - Kalmar	0:3
27.10.21	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	2:2

Upcoming Matches