The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varbergs BoIS 29.2%
Draw 28.4%
Sirius 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
28.4%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
29%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varbergs BoIS's form might have worsened.
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sirius's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varbergs BoIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sirius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
25%
58.3%
Varbergs BoIS - Sirius Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Sirius will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 38.6% – 78%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Varberg has the most likely position - 16 (17.75%), project points - 29, currently - 2, a chance of relegated (41%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sirius has the most likely position - 13 (11.16%), project points - 34, currently - 2, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality18, importance42, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Varberg won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Sirius could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Varberg: Liljenback A.
(Knee Injury)
Mensah G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sirius: Mitov Nilsson D.
(Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Varberg won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Varberg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
Denmark
Sweden
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