Match Info

Superettan - Round 4

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Paskbergsvallen (Varberg)

Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play


	Varbergs BoIS		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.1
	1.7	3.99	4.48	Watch
	1.73	4.01	4.59
	1.77	3.86	4.16	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.73	3.85	4.49	Watch
	1.7	3.99	4.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.57)	3.84 ↓ (4.45)	4.35 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varbergs BoIS
54.2%

Draw
24.3%

Umeå
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varbergs BoIS's form might have worsened.

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Varbergs BoIS - Umeå Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varberg: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Varberg (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Varberg (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Varberg (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Varberg (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Varbergs BoIS will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Andersson F. (G) 4. Dahlstrom N. 12. Tellgren E. 18. Lindner J. (C) 24. Hellman E. 13. Edlund O. 28. Sadiku E. 5. Winbo A. 14. Alfonsi O. 15. Jonasson Westermark J. 10. Shabani L.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 5. Hedenquist J. 3. Andersson R. 28. Persson D. 32. Voilas J. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 11. Dejene M. 9. Haga M. H. 8. Hedstrom J. 10. Bjorgolfsson E.
Substitutes
19. Appiah Nyarko K. 2. Broman G. 1. Ekman O. (G) 11. Mohudin N. A. 17. Olausson L. 21. Vidjeskog I. 3. Zackrisson H.	16. Bangala D. 14. Cederblad E. 29. Lundqvist H. 24. Marklund L. 19. Olsson T. 31. Uppenberg M. (G) 15. Westin T.
Coaches
Hansen R.	Baath-Sjoblom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Shabani L. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Alfonsi O. ⚽, Winbo A. (A),
36', Alfonsi O. 🟨,
44', Hedstrom J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hedstrom J. ↓, Bangala D. ↑,
46', Voilas J. ↓, Lundqvist H. ↑,
46', Winbo A. ↓, Vidjeskog I. ↑,
50', Andersson F. 🟨,
58', 3 - 0, Shabani L. (Pen),
65', Shabani L. 🟨,
75', Bjorgolfsson E. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
75', Persson D. ↓, Olsson T. ↑,
83', Shabani L. ↓, Olausson L. ↑,
83', Jonasson Westermark J. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
83', Alfonsi O. ↓, Mohudin N. A. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Appiah Nyarko K. ⚽, Dahlstrom N. (A),
88', Lindner J. ↓, Zackrisson H. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Varberg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Varberg is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
13.04.25	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Varbergs BoIS - Örebro	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
03.03.25	Varbergs BoIS - Stockholm Internazionale	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTLL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
12.04.25	Umeå - Östersund	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Umeå - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
31.03.25	Oddevold - Umeå	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.11.24	Örebro Syrianska - Umeå	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Umeå - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.10.12	Umeå - Varbergs BoIS	1:2

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