Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Haugesund Stadion (Haugesund)


	Vard Haugesund		Flekkerøy

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.7
	1.52	4.3	4.74
	1.47	4.73	5.57	Watch
	1.41	4.6	5.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	4.6 ↓ (4.73)	5.46 ↓ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vard Haugesund
63.2%

Draw
20%

Flekkerøy
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

19.7%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

18.7%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vard Haugesund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Flekkerøy have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vard Haugesund than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Vard Haugesund - Flekkerøy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strand S. (G) 9. Alvsaker M. 17. Apeland K. 6. Banda P. 8. Bjornebye T. 11. Dvergsdal T. 19. Eide A. 18. Hauge A. 3. Helgesen S. 7. Jensen S. (C) 10. Lille-Lovo S.	1. Kristiansen M. (G) 10. Andersen H. 8. Gamachis D. (C) 4. Gravdahl J. 6. Johnsen D. W. 17. Johnsen E. 19. Kvalsvik G. 15. Lillehammer F. 11. Nahiry E. 7. Richardsen S. 14. Tjoland M.
Substitutes
14. Brakedal S. 22. Brandeggen B. 23. Eikje M. 24. Fauskanger-Olsson L. 5. Helgesen T. 20. Jensen J. 21. Jensen J. 26. Karamoko B. 2. Lonning A.	25. Eftevaag L. 5. Elefsen T. 21. Levinsen Arild J. 22. Lexberg E. 12. Vang M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Alvsaker M. ⚽,
36', Lille-Lovo S. 🟨,
38', Bjornebye T. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Kvalsvik G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', Eide A. 🟨,
62', Richardsen S. 🟨,
66', Banda P. ↓, Lonning A. ↑,
66', Helgesen S. ↓, Helgesen T. ↑,
66', Lille-Lovo S. ↓, Jensen J. ↑,
66', Apeland K. ↓, Eikje M. ↑,
69', Nahiry E. ↓, Eftevaag L. ↑,
79', Alvsaker M. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Alvsaker M. ⚽,
85', Jensen S. ↓, Jensen J. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Helgesen S. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, Alvsaker M. ⚽,
90+3', Gravdahl J. ↓, Levinsen Arild J. ↑,
90+3', Johnsen E. ↓, Elefsen T. ↑,
90+3', Richardsen S. ↓, Lexberg E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Vard Haugesund is Relegated to

Flekkerøy is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vard Haugesund won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Vard Haugesund is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vard Haugesund won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vard Haugesund won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vard Haugesund
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
18.10.25	Jerv - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Sotra - Vard Haugesund	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Vard Haugesund - Pors	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Vard Haugesund - Eik-Tønsberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTLW
- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.10.25	Flekkerøy - Brann 2	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Eik-Tønsberg - Flekkerøy	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Flekkerøy - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Arendal - Flekkerøy	9:0 ✺
20.09.25	Flekkerøy - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.06.25	Flekkerøy - Vard Haugesund	2:2
10.08.24	Flekkerøy - Vard Haugesund	2:3
29.06.24	Vard Haugesund - Flekkerøy	2:0
04.11.23	Vard Haugesund - Flekkerøy	1:1
17.06.23	Flekkerøy - Vard Haugesund	0:0
24.09.22	Vard Haugesund - Flekkerøy	0:1
07.05.22	Flekkerøy - Vard Haugesund	3:2

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