Match Info

NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - Round 16

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	SportKlub 2


	Vardar		Gostivar

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.35	3.25	2.03
	3.88	2.94	2.04	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.65	3.15	1.97
	3.35	3.25	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.8)	3.16 ↓ (3.35)	2.02 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
26.4%

Draw
28.7%

Gostivar
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26.6%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

26.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vardar's form might have worsened.

Gostivar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vardar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Vardar - Gostivar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Gacevski F. (G) 77. Brdarovski V. 2. Cosic D. 14. Cvetkov G. 11. Dianessy D. 4. Djuric D. 7. Dongmo D. 90. Mecinovic J. 8. Micevski D. (C) 9. Omeragikj A. 10. Zakaric G.	1. Vasilev V. (G) 8. Aydogan O. 88. Cheshmedjiev K. 22. Diatta A. 14. Dirar N. 90. Husmani Z. 9. Mashike E. 21. Mbende E. 26. Potuk A. (C) 24. Trajcevski D. 4. Zuka F.
Substitutes
88. Bosancic N. 23. Duranski F. 25. Gjurkovski A. 21. Jonus R. 3. Kim S. 19. Kostov M. 18. Mishkovski N. 20. Nikolovski K. 30. Sharkoski N. 1. Velkovski M. (G) 17. Zdravkovski O.	6. Ajdini R. 77. Dervishi E. 29. Djurdjevic F. 11. Elmas M. 13. Ersu E. (G) 33. Glisic D. 15. Hamzikj M. 10. Ivanovski I. 5. Kirovski A. 16. Murati M. 17. Simonovski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Aydogan O. 🟨,
43', Potuk A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, Diatta A. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Ivanovski I. ⚽,
88', Aydogan O. ↓, Djurdjevic F. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
24.11.24	Voska Sport - Vardar	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Vardar - Shkupi	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Pelister - Vardar	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Vardar - Rabotnički	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLLT
- Gostivar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
24.11.24	Gostivar - Tikveš	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Gostivar - Voska Sport	4:0 ✺
03.11.24	Shkupi - Gostivar	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Gostivar - Pelister	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Gostivar - AP Brera Strumica	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
15.09.24	Gostivar - Vardar	1:1
10.03.24	Gostivar - Vardar	0:0
17.02.24	Gostivar - Vardar	1:1
24.09.23	Vardar - Gostivar	0:2
North Macedonian 2 MFL
14.04.23	Vardar - Gostivar	0:0
23.10.22	Gostivar - Vardar	1:0
09.04.22	Gostivar - Vardar	2:1

Vardar - Gostivar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide