Match Info

Date: 14 April 2021, Wednesday


	Vardar		Renova

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.68
	4.58	3.66	1.74
	4.33	3.25	1.78
	4.5	3.7	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (2.18)	3.5 ↑ (3.11)	1.72 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
20.8%

Draw
26.1%

Renova
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

21.1%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vardar's form might have worsened.

Renova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vardar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renova than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	7.5%	86.8%

Vardar - Renova Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 3 - 5.7%). Renova will win (votes: 46 - 86.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Renova: 77.7% – 95.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Vardar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Renova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Renova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Vardar won 15 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 42-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Vardar won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 34-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.04.21	Sileks - Vardar	6:0 ✺
04.04.21	Pelister - Vardar	2:0 ✺
20.03.21	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	1:6 ✺
14.03.21	Shkupi - Vardar	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Vardar - Struga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- FK Renova
North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.04.21	Renova - Shkendija Tetovo	0:3 ✺
04.04.21	Shkupi - Renova	1:2 ✺
20.03.21	Renova - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	1:2 ✺
14.03.21	Struga - Renova	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Shkendija Tetovo - Renova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
03.03.21	Renova - Vardar	3:0
25.10.20	Vardar - Renova	3:3
08.03.20	Renova - Vardar	2:0
03.11.19	Vardar - Renova	2:0
20.04.19	Vardar - Renova	2:0
24.02.19	Renova - Vardar	4:0
28.10.18	Vardar - Renova	0:0

Vardar - Renova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide