Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Varese		Celle Varazze

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.85
	1.95	3.25	3.51
	1.85	3.24	4.12	Watch
	1.9	3.15	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)	3.21 ↓ (3.58)	3.84 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
48.1%

Draw
28.3%

Celle Varazze
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varese's form might have worsened.

Celle Varazze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celle Varazze than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Varese - Celle Varazze Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Varese (votes: 1 - 50%). Celle Varazze (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Balan G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 1, Cogliati P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Varese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Varese is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.11.25	Valenzana Mado - Varese	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Varese - Unione Sanremo	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Gozzano - Varese	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Varese - Asti	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Vado - Varese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- Celle Varazze
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.11.25	Celle Varazze - Asti	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Celle Varazze - Derthona	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Unione Sanremo - Celle Varazze	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Celle Varazze - Biellese	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	NovaRomentin - Celle Varazze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTWL

Varese - Celle Varazze: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide