Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 12Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Varese |
|
Unione Sanremo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.22 |
2.92 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.33 |
2.82 |
2.88 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.21 |
4.00 |
 Watch |
 |
2.35 |
2.95 |
2.97 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.2 |
3.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.95) |
3.02 ↑
(2.88) |
3.38 ↓
(4.05) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Varese
42.8% | Draw
30.2% | Unione Sanremo
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Unione Sanremo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unione Sanremo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unione Sanremo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Varese - Unione Sanremo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Osuji W. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Cogliati P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 90', 1 - 2, Osuji W. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Costante M. ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Tentoni T. ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟥,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4.Varese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Unione Sanremo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, Varese is seen as the favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Varese won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 25.01.25 | Unione Sanremo - Varese | 0:1 | | 28.09.24 | Varese - Unione Sanremo | 2:0 | | 28.03.24 | Varese - Unione Sanremo | 2:1 | | 19.11.23 | Unione Sanremo - Varese | 1:1 | | 29.05.22 | Unione Sanremo - Varese | 0:1 | | 10.04.22 | Unione Sanremo - Varese | 1:0 | | 28.11.21 | Varese - Unione Sanremo | 4:2 |
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