Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Varese		Virtus CiseranoBergamo

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.2	3.15	2.1
	3.08	3.27	2.08
	3	3	2.15
	3.1	3.38	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.73)	3.2 ↑ (3.17)	2.1 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
29.2%

Draw
28.1%

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.1%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.1%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Varese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Città di Varese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Virtus CiseranoBergamo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Città di Varese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Città di Varese have a series of guest games.

Virtus CiseranoBergamo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Giana Erminio - Varese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.01.23	Alcione - Varese	1:1 ✺
21.12.22	Lumezzane - Varese	3:0 ✺
17.12.22	Varese - Franciacorta	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Varese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLLW
- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.01.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caronnese	4:0 ✺
21.12.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Arconatese	2:0 ✺
18.12.22	Brusaporto - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTL

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