Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Virtus CiseranoBergamo		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.05	3.3	3.15
	2.05	3.26	3.14
	2.19	3.2	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.61)	3.24 ↓ (3.36)	3.13 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
43.3%

Draw
27.9%

Caronnese
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus CiseranoBergamo's form might have worsened.

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caronnese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus CiseranoBergamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caronnese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caronnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Virtus CiseranoBergamo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Virtus CiseranoBergamo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Arconatese	2:0 ✺
18.12.22	Brusaporto - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Breno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLL
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	3:0 ✺
17.12.22	Caronnese - Lumezzane	1:3 ✺
11.12.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Varese - Caronnese	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Caronnese - Sona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
04.09.22	Caronnese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
20.04.22	Caronnese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:2 penalties

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caronnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide