Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Lumezzane		Varese

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.51	3.85	5.46
	1.47	3.6	5.8
	1.45	4.15	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	3.84 ↑ (3.5)	5.5 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
60.2%

Draw
23.5%

Varese
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Lumezzane - Varese Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lumezzane will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Varese will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lumezzane: 54% – 99.8%.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Lumezzane in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Città di Varese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Città di Varese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lumezzane is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lumezzane to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.22	Caronnese - Lumezzane	1:3 ✺
11.12.22	Lumezzane - Brusaporto	4:2 ✺
04.12.22	Villa Valle - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Lumezzane - Arconatese	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Desenzano Calvina - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWW
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.22	Varese - Franciacorta	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Varese	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Varese - Franciacorta	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.12.22	Varese - Caronnese	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL

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