The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varesina 35.8%
Draw 30.4%
Leon 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
29.6%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
30.4%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Varesina - Leon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Costantino D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, Varesina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Leon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Varesina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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