Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Leon		Sondrio

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.6
	1.89	3.37	3.77	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.96
	1.9	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.7)	3.28 ↓ (3.63)	3.77 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leon
48.2%

Draw
27.7%

Sondrio
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

24.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leon's form might have worsened.

Sondrio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sondrio than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Leon - Sondrio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Vasil M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Gervasoni M. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Bonseri M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
75', 3 - 1, ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sondrio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Leon	6	2	3	1	9:7	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Leon
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.02.26	Oltrepo - Leon	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Leon - Folgore Caratese	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Caldiero Terme - Leon	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Leon - Breno	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Leon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWL
- Sondrio Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
01.02.26	Castellanzese - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Sondrio - Scanzorosciate	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Varesina - Sondrio	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Brusaporto - Sondrio	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sondrio - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLWLT

Leon - Sondrio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide