Match Info

Date: 11 March 2022, Friday


	Varzim		Académico de Viseu

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.87	3.2	3.75
	1.85	3.15	4
	1.86	3.1	4.5
	1.91	3.32	4.75
	1.83	3	4.4
	1.82	3.26	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.76)	3.15 ↑ (3.12)	4.35 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
49.7%

Draw
29.2%

Académico de Viseu
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

20.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Académico de Viseu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Académico de Viseu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varzim - Académico de Viseu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0.

Recent matches Varzim is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viseu is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varzim will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
06.03.22	Benfica B - Varzim	1:2 ✺
28.02.22	Varzim - Feirense	0:0 ✺
21.02.22	Estrela da Amadora - Varzim	0:0 ✺
17.02.22	Varzim - Farense	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Varzim - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTTLT
- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
05.03.22	Académico de Viseu - Estrela da Amadora	0:4 ✺
28.02.22	Académica Coimbra - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
18.02.22	Académico de Viseu - Leixões	1:2 ✺
13.02.22	Farense - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.10.21	Académico de Viseu - Varzim	1:0
26.03.21	Académico de Viseu - Varzim	0:1
07.11.20	Varzim - Académico de Viseu	1:1
10.01.20	Varzim - Académico de Viseu	1:2
31.03.19	Académico de Viseu - Varzim	1:0
01.12.18	Varzim - Académico de Viseu	0:0
11.04.18	Varzim - Académico de Viseu	0:1

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